April 30, 2008
Harry Robinson Asks: "Where are the Head-Kickers"?
Who would like to be Wayne Swan in this budget
month of May?
He will have the exhilaration of standing at the dispatch box in brilliant light
while the House listens in decent quiet and even the Prime Minister sits mute.
He will deliver his document, his claim to arrange our money for the best. It
will be his hour.
Later he will have to endure slings and arrows from critics, some well informed,
some dopey, some muddled, some fair and hurtful. Not to mention the howls of
rage from those who have to lose jobs or income.
Which will prevail -- the glory of the hour or the slings and arrows and howls
of rage? He will probably keep his feelings to himself.
This treasurer has come to his job from Academe: he used to teach
Government/Public Administration at QUT in between assisting Wayne Goss and
pushing policy notions to the Queensland establishment. He seems well prepared
for federal treasurer -- well, sorta kinda. Better than some earlier treasurers
at any rate.
He has tangled web to sort out. To help him are the cashed up dollops of money
piled up by Peter Costello -- some billions as starters. Then he has a buoyant
export market for iron ore and coal with China apparently willing to order the
stuff even in the face of rising prices. From exports flow corporate profits
here and consequently tax in big dollops for the lucky Wayne Swan. Sad to tell,
not everything is hunky dory. Spoilers come from the frightening uncertainties
of the US-caused sub-prime mortgage debacle with horrible uncertainties for
global banking. Into the tangle comes the knot of rising inflation at home.
No force is plain, nothing is simple. It would be easier to pick the trifecta of
the next Melbourne Cup.
In the background stand the mandarins of the
Treasury Department who urge the treasurer to grab every possible cent of public
money and spend not one cent more than absolutely necessary.
To further bedevil Swan's way come the special interest groups each of whom
claims priority on the spending side of the budget.
The Australian Defence Association will be pressing the idea that the armed
forces are crucial to our continued existence, without them we are doomed,
therefore the services must have first call and a loud call on billions. The ADA
has former military notables to spearhead its attacks on our cash. Wayne Swan
will have to listen to them.
Farmers have a handful of special interest groups to state their claims. If they
don't get some subsidies, some help with the water business, some relief from
diesel tax .. If they don't get their teeth into consolidated revenue then
Austrlia's exports will fail, farming families will have to go on the dole,
millions of people around the world will starve and start food wars. It takes a
strong man or woman to stand up to the cockies.
More discreetly but also more powerfully enter the special interest lobbies for
big business, big miners, big industrialists, those friendly folk who talk in
billions and think in trillions. Give them tax cuts or give the nation a fit of
depression.
ACOSS joins in the pressure game to speak up for the clients of CentreLink, the
millions of people who benefit from social service payments and tax breaks. Each
client is a mere dot, all the clients add up to millions of voters. Can Swan
resist the force of votes by the million?
Most articulate are the arts people. They don't amount to much in numbers or in
monies demanded but what a noise they can make! They practice rhetoric on stage
and in print. They know how to embarrass and they pull out all stops at budget
time -- deny us funding and Australia will suffer spiritual death. Swan might
well be tempted to give them a hundred million or two to shut them up.
Perhaps worse than the formal armies of special interest are the opportunists.
We have one running at present in the person of Steve Price of the 2UE radio
network (now part of Fairfax). Price sits in the time-slot previously the home
of John Laws. It's a power point in media land.
It's also a power place for a campaign in favour of pensioners. Steve Price all
but chokes when he talks of pensioners doing it hard, too scantily paid to 'buy
a bit of steak for dinner.' He is running a campaign for more money in pension
pockets, a plea likely to win support from 2UE listeners. They don't do their
sums or they'd see that an extra $10 a week for more than a million recipients
would cost Treasury oooooohhhhh, well, it would run into $billions a year. Wayne
Swan cannot splurge on pensioners but he will feel hard pressed to make some
gesture their way.
So many bunches of voters who want big slices of the cake. This list is not
exhaustive. Frinstnce, Sharon Burrow, president of the ACTU, argues cogently for
work safety expenditure.
We could go on but why re-invent the wheel? And what is the point of this poor
prose? To raise sympathy for Wayne Swan? No. He wanted the job and now he must
do the best he can with it. We need shed no tears for him.
What we do need to do is consider the position of higher education and
scientific research -- the Ed-Sci community. Very little has been heard for Ed-Sci
in the run-up to Mr Swan's first budget. Has Ed-sci come to understand the kind
of market it is in? That it is a babble of voices shouting that they come first,
they must have grants and great gobs of money? That decency and morality and
logic are non-starters? That guile and noise prevail? That the scramble for
dollars is a boots and all, a hoplessly undignified scrum? That sober and
reasonable statements by university vice-chancellors have little chance of being
heard?
In short, is the Ed-Sci community ready to see that it needs; repeat needs, a
force of head-kickers to do the nasty noisy work?
Harry Robinson -- for 25 years worked in television journalism in Oz and the US and was for several years air media critic for the
Sydney Morning Herald and the Sun-Herald.